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Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters’ demographic profile and political views. The share of Republican primary voters and caucusgoers holding these views about Trump’s fitness for office and the 2020 election varies from state to state, even as the dominant sentiment remains largely the same. Exit poll data this year finds GOP primary voters divided in their desired approach to abortion policy in a post-Roe v. Wade era. Trump has also racked up support among those primary voters who are the most acutely unhappy with the way things are going in the US. Exit polls for the Iowa Republican caucuses and the New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia and California Republican presidential primaries were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, they’d, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Biden’s, Haley, Trump, , California –, MAGA, Wade, Biden Organizations: CNN —, GOP, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Republican, New Hampshire Republican, Election, Iowa GOP, Voters, Iowa Republican, California Republican, Edison Research, New, South Carolina Republican, North Carolina Republican, Virginia Republican Locations: – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, California, Super, Iowa, New, California , Virginia
Win Mcnamee | Getty ImagesFormer President Donald Trump continued his march toward the GOP nomination on Saturday, winning the Missouri caucuses and sweeping the delegate haul at a party convention in Michigan. The steep odds facing Haley were on display in Columbia, Missouri, where Republicans gathered at a church to caucus. Supporters quickly moved to one side of the room or the other, depending on whether they favored Trump or Haley. Mike Parson signed a 2022 law that, among other things, canceled the planned March 12 presidential primary. Trump prevailed twice under Missouri's old presidential primary system.
Persons: Donald Trump, Win Mcnamee, Nikki Haley, Trump, Haley, Seth Christensen, wasn't, caucusgoer, Christensen, Tom Mendenall, Trump's, Mike Parson Organizations: Winthrop University, Getty, GOP, Michigan ., Michigan . Idaho Republicans, Republican, District of Columbia, Boone County . Michigan Michigan Republicans, Michigan Republicans, Missouri Voters, University of Missouri, Trump, Republicans, GOP Gov, Democratic Locations: Rock Hill , South Carolina, Missouri, Michigan, Michigan . Idaho, District, Columbia , Missouri, Boone County ., Grand Rapids, Columbia, Idaho
What Does the Uncommitted Vote in Michigan Mean for 2024?
  + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
In Tuesday night’s results in Michigan, around one in eight Democrats voted “uncommitted” in the Democratic primary — a protest of the Biden administration’s policies toward Israel and the war in Gaza. In some predominantly Arab American precincts in Dearborn, around three in four Democrats cast a protest vote for uncommitted. Having one in eight Democrats vote uncommitted in an uncontested primary is not wholly unusual. As recently as the last time a Democratic president sought re-election, in 2012, 11 percent of Michigan Democratic caucusgoers voted for “uncommitted” instead of for Barack Obama. Having three in four Democratic primary voters in Arab American communities do it, on the other hand, is an eye-popping figure.
Persons: , Michigan Democratic caucusgoers, uncommitted ”, Barack Obama, Biden Organizations: Democratic, Biden, uncommitted, Michigan Democratic Locations: Michigan, Israel, Gaza, Dearborn, Arab
An independent special counsel poured kerosene on concerns about Joe Biden’s age with pointed language about the president’s poor memory after concluding Biden had willfully mishandled classified documents – and that his failing memory makes him impossible to convict. ► He appears poised for a win at the Supreme Court. Feeding the frenzy about Biden’s ageIn concluding Biden should not be prosecuted, Special Counsel Robert Hur, a former Trump-appointed US Attorney in Maryland, offered a political indictment of the president’s fitness. Still, larger Trump-related questions loom for the Supreme Court, such as whether Trump enjoys absolute immunity from prosecution. Trump attorney Jonathan Mitchell speaks before the Supreme Court on February 8.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, Biden, ” Biden, Trump, Nikki Haley’s, It’s, Robert Hur, Hur, Carolina Sen, Thom Tillis, , , Beau, , Richard Sauber, Bob Bauer, Jamie Raskin, ” Raskin, CNN’s Wolf, General Merrick Garland, Biden’s, Lago, Hur’s, Barack Obama, Obama, , Joe Biden's, Trump’s, Haley, Jonathan Mitchell, Bill Hennessy Trump’s Organizations: CNN, White House, Republican, Supreme, Trump, Oval, , Biden, Maryland Democrat, Democratic, House Democrats, National Archives, Mar, Department of Justice, Virgin Islands, South Locations: Nevada, Colorado, Maryland, Carolina, Virginia, Biden’s Delaware, Florida, Afghanistan, Joe Biden's Delaware, Virgin, South Carolina, Washington ,
In New Hampshire, more than 4-in-5 Haley voters said Trump would not be fit to serve again if convicted and that Biden had legitimately won. In that poll, two-thirds of Haley voters in Iowa said they would not vote for Trump in a general election; that number soared past three-fourths of her voters in New Hampshire. One key reason: fully 93% of all GOP-leaning voters said they disapproved of Biden’s performance as president. Madrid believes Biden’s record on immigration is the biggest obstacle to him harvesting support among the Republicans uneasy about Trump. Lake doesn’t agree that any single issue is critical for Biden with the kind of GOP voters who have rallied to Haley.
Persons: Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump, Haley, Biden, Joe Biden, Haley –, Trump, , Smith, Michael Madrid, “ Trump, , SSRS, “ Donald Trump, that’s, Alan Abramowitz, Ron DeSantis, it’s, Democratic pollster, Biden’s, ” Madrid, Haley herself, ” Jennifer Horn, MAGA …, ” Jim McLaughlin, Trump’s, McLaughlin, Bill McInturff –, , Lake, Jean Carroll, , Taylor Swift, Chris Wilson, Republican pollster, Wilson, ” Wilson, Lake doesn’t Organizations: CNN, South Carolina Republican, Trump, White, GOP, Republican, Democratic, Trump Lincoln Project, Washington Post, University of Maryland, Capitol, CBS, Republicans, NBC News, Republican Party, South, Emory University, Florida Gov, Edison Research, Haley Iowa, Monmouth University, , Biden, New Hampshire Republican, NBC, AP Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, California, Madrid, Washington, South Carolina, ” Madrid, McInturff, Lake, Trump
Crossings in recent weeks are down overall along the entire U.S. border, including areas without such a heavy security presence. The arrival of GOP governors to Eagle Pass rounds out a weekend that has kept the small border city of roughly 30,000 residents in an unwitting spotlight. The number of crossings in Eagle Pass has recently fallen to a few hundred a day. Mexico has bolstered immigration efforts that include adding more checkpoints and sending people from the northern border to southern Mexico. Melissa Ruiz, 30, arrived at the Piedras Negras shelter, across the river from Eagle Pass, along with her four children.
Persons: — Kyle Willis, “ It’s, It’s, , Willis, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden's, Joe Biden, Ron DeSantis, Biden, John Modlin, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Donald Trump, MAGA, Melissa Ruiz, Ruiz, Maria Verza, Mexico City anf Elliot Spagat Organizations: Texas National Guard, Texas Gov, Florida Gov, National Guard, U.S . Border Patrol, Border Patrol, , U.S . Biden, Eagle, AP, Associated Locations: PIEDRAS NEGRAS, Mexico, U.S, Texas, Grande, Eagle, Piedras Negras, Park, Tucson , Arizona, Mexican, Rio Grande, Central America, Ecuador, Peru, Honduran, Piedras, Mexico City, San Diego
LAS VEGAS (AP) — Former President Donald Trump lavished praise Saturday on Texas Gov. Greg Abbott for not allowing the Biden administration entry to remove razor wire in a popular corridor for migrants illegally entering the U.S. in an escalating feud over immigration. In a speech focused overwhelmingly on border security, Trump said Texas should be given full support in its measures to deter migrants along the U.S.-Mexico border. Rob Williams, a 25-year-old voter who attended the Las Vegas rally, said he was glad Texas was defying the Biden administration over immigration. "They’re going to show the fight over there in Texas.” ___Gomez Licon reported from Miami.
Persons: Donald Trump, Greg Abbott, Biden, Trump, ” Trump, E, Jean Carroll, , ” Annabelle Weislocher, , Joe Biden, I’ll, Rob Williams, ” ___ Gomez Licon Organizations: LAS VEGAS, Texas Gov, U.S . Border Patrol, Republican, Navy, Air Force Reserve, Trump, Immigration, AP, Las Locations: Texas, U.S, Mexico, Las Vegas, United States, America, Miami
But Iowa caucusgoers and New Hampshire primary voters also exposed noticeable chinks in Trump’s electoral armor and worrying general election headwinds that he and his campaign will face in the coming months. Yes, Trump handily won a head-to-head matchup in a New Hampshire primary contest that wasn’t limited to just Republicans. “Twenty percent of GOP voters will not vote for him,” the Republican member told CNN. Visibly miffed by Haley’s conviction to continue on after New Hampshire, Trump spent the evening lashing out at her online and trashing her appearance in his victory speech. Of the 30% of New Hampshire GOP primary voters who named immigration as their top concern, nearly 8 in 10 voted for Trump, according to CNN’s exit poll.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, , Ronna McDaniel –, McDaniel, , ” McDaniel, Chris Sununu, ” Sununu, you’re, , Biden, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Trump’s, Reagan, ” DeSantis, Steve Deace, “ He’s, ” Trump, Sen, Tim Scott, Trey Gowdy, ” Jim McLaughlin, pollsters, Brett Loyd, they’ve, ” Loyd, “ They’ve, CNN’s Manu Raju, Donald Trump’s Organizations: CNN, Iowa, Advisers, Trump, Democratic, South Carolina Gov, Republicans, New, White, GOP, Republican, Republican National, Fox News, RNC, New Hampshire Gov, Biden, Hill, , Florida Gov, South Carolina Rep, Fox, New Hampshire GOP, University of Michigan Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, Florida, , Trump, Arizona, Pennsylvania
Consider his first major performance in Iowa last year, in front of an audience of likely Republican caucusgoers. “We say very clearly in the state of Florida that we will fight the woke in the Legislature,” DeSantis said, as he tried to rouse the crowd to applause. “We will fight the woke in education, we will fight the woke in the businesses, we will never ever surrender to the woke mob. Our state is where woke goes to die.”There is a relatively small group of people for whom this is a resonant message. DeSantis could have used the multiple criminal indictments against the former president to make the practical case that Trump would not win if he was in jail.
Persons: Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, ” DeSantis, Trump Organizations: Republican, Trump Locations: Florida, Iowa
A caucus worker checks in voters at a caucus site at the Horizon Events Center in Clive, Iowa, on Jan. 15, 2024. Former President Donald Trump won the Iowa caucus by a landslide, due in part to strong turnout by older voters. "While the turnout overall was low, 70% of caucusgoers who turned out were over the age of 50, which is unprecedented," said Brad Anderson, Iowa state director at the AARP. Historically, the turnout at Iowa caucuses tends to hover around 60% and traditionally skews older, he said. "Given the weather, I think people are genuinely surprised at how robust the older caucusgoer turnout was," Anderson said.
Persons: Donald Trump, caucusgoers, Brad Anderson, Anderson, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Trump Organizations: Horizon, AARP, Finance, Trump, Florida Gov, United, Security, New Locations: Clive , Iowa, Brad Anderson , Iowa, Iowa, United Nations, New Hampshire
Nonetheless, it was notable at Sunday's rally in New Hampshire to see Trump praise DeSantis without calling him “DeSantimonious” or “DeSanctus,” putting an end to perhaps the most bitter rivalry of Republicans' 2024 campaign. “It’s clear to me that a majority of Republican primary voters want to give Donald Trump another chance,” DeSantis said, offering matter-of-fact analysis through a forced smile without adding plaudits for Trump. It's not easy.”Brenda Moneypenny, a 64-year-old from Alton, waited in the cold for two hours to see Trump on Sunday night. Trump endorsed DeSantis, then a congressman, in a competitive 2018 GOP primary for Florida governor. “I endorsed him, and he became a rocket ship in 24 hours,” Trump said, claiming that DeSantis had begged for his endorsement.
Persons: — Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, it's, “ DeSantimonious, , Ron, ” Trump, DeSantis, Donald Trump, ” DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Brenda Moneypenny, Moneypenny, Haley, ” Moneypenny, revel, Trump, caucusgoers, DeSantis's, Haley's, Joe Biden, Trump's, ___ Barrow Organizations: Republican, Trump, Republicans, New, GOP, South, Florida Locations: ROCHESTER, N.H, Florida, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Rochester, Alton, , skewering, Iowa, Carolina, New York, Laconia, ___, Atlanta
The poll, taken Tuesday through Friday, also found more registered Republicans in the state view Haley unfavorably (47%) than favorably (31%). Trump, meanwhile is viewed favorably by 76% of registered Republicans and unfavorably by just 16%. Some Haley supporters interviewed at her events are left-leaning voters who have little ideological overlap with Haley but are intent on stopping Trump. The day before, he won a rousing endorsement from South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, whom Haley appointed to the Senate when she was governor. “I think I know what favorable territory is in South Carolina.
Persons: — Richard Anderson, he’s, Anderson, Jackson, Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, “ I’ll, she’s, , John McCain, Republicans ’, Nathan Shrader, , Haley, Trump, Corinne Pullen, Pullen, Haley’s, , ” Trump, Chris LaCivita, South Carolina Sen, Tim Scott, that’s, Dante Scala, McCain, ” Haley doesn’t, Chris Sununu, Ron DeSantis, I’m, Phil Scott, Biden, Kristen Mansharamani, Mansharamani, Haley’s caucusgoers, Amy Watson, Hollis, Emily Swanson, Jill Colvin, Joseph Frederick, Linley Sanders Organizations: CONCORD, Republican, Mount Washington, New, Republicans, New England College, GOP, CNN, University of New, Trump, Democrats, South, Senate, South Carolina, PAC, New Hampshire Gov, , Florida Gov, Vermont Gov, New Hampshire voters, Trump Republicans, AP VoteCast, Washington , Associated Press, Associated Press Locations: N.H, New, New Hampshire, University of New Hampshire, Canterbury, South Carolina, Tuesday's, Trump, Vermont, Lincoln, In Iowa, Iowa, Washington ,, Washington
But the deal is already wobbling, as House Speaker Mike Johnson faces intense pressure from Trump and his House allies to demand more sweeping concessions from Democrats and the White House. “I do not think we should do a Border Deal, at all, unless we get EVERYTHING needed to shut down the INVASION of Millions & Millions of people,” Trump posted on social media this week. During Iowa's Republican caucuses last week, which Trump won, immigration was a top issue. They argue that the changes would actually pave the way for Trump to implement his border agenda if he wins the election. Even beyond Trump, Johnson is dealing with far-right House members who are furious over his willingness to work with Democrats to pass legislation.
Persons: Donald Trump, Mike Johnson, , ” Trump, It's, Trump, Joe Biden, , Greg Abbott’s, “ It’s, Sen, Michael Bennet, “ I’m, ” Bennet, Denver Mayor Mike Johnston, we’ve, Joaquin Castro, Mitch McConnell, He's, Biden's, Oklahoma Sen, James Lankford, Lankford, Johnson, “ We’re, ” Johnson, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Greene, Biden, I’ve, Republican that’s, Jim Himes, Conn, We've, ” Himes, Lisa Mascaro Organizations: WASHINGTON, Trump, White, Republicans, Democratic, Russia, Republican, AP, Texas Gov, Colorado Democrat, Denver Mayor, Texas Democrat, U.S, Oklahoma, Republican Party, Associated Locations: Ukraine, U.S, Mexico, Colorado, United States, Texas, Israel, Trump, Iowa
Trump has also baselessly questioned whether Vice President Kamala Harris, whose parents are immigrants, was eligible. Sen. Marco Rubio, the Florida Republican who Trump also bested in that 2016 primary with taunts of “Little Marco,” also again endorsed Trump this week. It is actually Trump who faces more legitimate questions about his eligibility under the 14th Amendment. It is not true, as he alleges, that Democrats can take part in the GOP primary. “You have a group of people coming in that are not Republicans, and it’s artificially boosting her numbers here,” Trump said.
Persons: Donald Trump’s playbook, Barack Obama, Hussein, Trump, Kamala Harris, Ted Cruz, John F, Kennedy, Lee Harvey Oswald, Cruz, Trump’s, Sen, Marco Rubio, “ Little Marco, , Nikki Haley, Haley, , ” Haley, Joe Biden, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Jeff Zeleny, “ He’s, Nia, Malika Henderson, ” Henderson, Haley’s, ” Trump, E, Jean Carroll, Carroll, Utah Sen, Mitt Romney, Romney, CNN’s Manu Raju, Biden, Donald Trump, ” Romney, Raju Organizations: CNN, White, GOP, Republican, National Enquirer, Florida Republican, Trump, South, United Nations, Supreme, Florida Gov, Bloomberg, CNN New Locations: Texas, Cuba, Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Maine, Colorado, CNN New Hampshire, Utah
And I think he’s right there with Reagan as far as his track record, what he did overall throughout his presidency. I think it really does set her up well as you do move on into some other states. nick corasanitiSo New Hampshire has a long history of really just going against Iowa, right? Those independents is where the question of the final results really, really come in. They were economic voters, taxation voters, pro-gun voters, not any of those kind of evangelical issues that we heard in Iowa.
Persons: I’m, We’ve, I’m Astead, , Iowans, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki ”, Haley, it’s, Ames, Harrison Barnes, Doug McDermott, Troy Hill, Nikki Haley, Vivek, — he’s, wouldn’t, , aren’t, Reagan, DeSantis, Nikki, Ramaswamy, Ron, he’s, Biden, Ron DeSantis, , I’ve, who’s, It’s, hasn’t, caucusing, Roe, Astead Herndon, Aaron, it’s Trump, They’re, Mike Pence, you’ll, we’re, Anna, Teresa didn’t, Teresa, haven’t, Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump’s, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nick Corasaniti, astead herndon, Nick, Trump’s, astead, There’s, they’re, Rand Paul, herndon, Bill Clinton, — astead herndon Isn’t, John McCain, George W, Bush, isn’t, They’ve, unquote, astead herndon It’s, He’s, Chris Christie, Christie, that’s, “ Trump, it’ll, she’s, I’d Organizations: Trump, The New York Times, Republican, CNN, Iowa, America, Iowa State University, NBA, Republicans, Republican Party, Associated Press, NBC, CBS, Iowa Republican, New, astead herndon, New Hampshire, Democrat, New Hampshire Republican, Prosperity Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, I’m Astead Herndon, , Iowa, Ames , Iowa, Des Moines, Trump, Troy, Ukraine, Congo, , New Hampshire, COVID, Indiana, Ames, , Hampshire, astead herndon, Portsmouth
New York CNN —There is a dangerous undercurrent dragging Americans who wade into the political waters out toward the extreme. But much of the national press, basking ashore on the sun-soaked beach, refuses to acknowledge it in a serious manner. Instead, many journalists have grown comfortable glossing over the treacherous rip tide lurking beneath the surface of the water before their very eyes. Embarrassingly, Ron DeSantis has done more in recent days than most in the press to call attention to the matter. For one, it is still perhaps uncomfortable to acknowledge the depths of dishonesty in which much of right-wing media now operates.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, , Ron DeSantis, assailing Trump, Breitbart, Trump, it’s Organizations: New York CNN, Republican Party, Trump, Fox News Locations: New York, Iowa, Overton, Florida
Asa Hutchinson speaks during the Florida Freedom Summit held at the Gaylord Palms Resort in Kissimmee, Florida, on Nov. 4, 2023. Asa Hutchinson on Tuesday suspended his Republican presidential campaign, a day after finishing a distant sixth place in the GOP's Iowa caucuses. Hutchinson's departure narrows the Republican primary field to just former President Donald Trump, who won Iowa in a landslide; Florida Gov. Hutchinson defended his campaign message of being a principled Republican with experience and telling the truth about the current front-runner. Hutchinson won just .2% of the votes in the Iowa caucuses, or 191 caucusgoers.
Persons: Asa Hutchinson, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, Hutchinson, Ryan Binkley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Chris Christie Organizations: Arkansas Gov, Florida Freedom Summit, Gaylord, Former Arkansas Gov, Republican, Iowa, Florida Gov, United Nations, South, GOP, Former New Jersey Gov Locations: Florida, Kissimmee , Florida, Iowa, South Carolina, Arkansas
Former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley is facing pressure from some of her top fundraisers to either seriously compete with, or outright defeat, Donald Trump in next week's New Hampshire primary, after finishing third Monday in the Iowa caucus. Levine is also the co-host of a Haley fundraising event scheduled for after the New Hampshire primary. He told CNBC he isn't worried about poor attendance, as long as she has a strong showing in the Granite State. In order to keep many of her more affluent donors engaged, Haley must get within three percentage points of Trump in New Hampshire, said a Republican fundraising advisor whose clients include Haley donors. Some Haley donors have already lost hope.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald Trump, Andy Sabin, Haley, Sabin, Haley doesn't, Eric Levine, Levine, Trump, he's, Joe Biden, CNBC's Alex Sherman Organizations: U.S, United, U.N, CNBC, Trump, New, Republican, caucusgoers, GOP, New Hampshire, AdImpact Locations: West Des Moines , Iowa, U.S, week's, Hampshire, Iowa, New York, New Hampshire, Granite State, South Carolina, Davos, Switzerland
After an anemic showing in the Iowa caucuses, long-shot GOP presidential candidate Asa Hutchinson abandoned his bid for the presidential nomination Tuesday, saying he was “driving back to Arkansas” and suspending his campaign. And he angered GOP primary voters with his criticism of Trump. "Asa Hutchinson would have been a relevant and potentially competitive presidential candidate in the pre-MAGA era. In mid-November, Hutchinson crowed about making the Michigan GOP primary ballot, suggesting he was in it for the long haul. Hutchinson was one of the most outspoken GOP critics of Trump.
Persons: Asa Hutchinson, ” Hutchinson, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, DeSantis, Haley, Hutchinson, , Bill Clinton, Trump, MAGA, David Cohen, Hutchinson's, Cohen, Ryan Binkley, Mike Pence, Rob Burgess, Chris Christie, who’s, , Organizations: Hawkeye State, Republican, Trump , Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Florida, Trump, Department of Homeland Security, Drug, Republican Party, GOP, University of Akron, Des, Register, NBC, Suffolk University, Boston Globe, USA, Michigan GOP, New, New Jersey Gov, Florida Republican, Summit Locations: Iowa, Arkansas, Hawkeye, Trump , Florida, New Hampshire, Congress, U.S, Michigan, Miami, New Jersey, Kissimmee
Two-thirds of Republican voters don’t think President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory was legitimate, despite all evidence to the contrary. Iowa caucusgoers, unlike most of the country, overwhelmingly support banning most or all abortions nationwide. Iowa voters could be asked on the general election ballot to make clear there is no right to abortion guaranteed in their state’s constitution. While Trump held a commanding lead among Iowa caucusgoers without college degrees, college graduates were more closely divided among Trump, former South Carolina Gov. But she made clear this week that she would ultimately support Trump if he’s the nominee.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, MAGA, Trump, Joe Biden’s, caucusgoers, Biden, Sen, Ted Cruz, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, , Republican caucusgoers, it’s, Jack Smith, Kim Reynolds, “ I’m, Chris Sununu, Haley, Sununu, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, he’s, , – there’s, Chris Christie, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republican, GOP, Republican, Trump, Republicans, Voters, Iowa’s Republican, Iowa, GOP CNN, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, White, Iowa Gov, Fox News, New, New Hampshire Gov, New Jersey Gov Locations: Iowa, Ted Cruz of Texas, Caucusgoers, Washington, DC, New Hampshire, New Jersey
Views of former President Donald Trump’s “Make America Great Again” movement — or MAGA — reveal a lot about likely Iowa Republican caucusgoers’ candidate preferences ahead of Monday’s GOP caucuses. Overall, the new NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll finds a combined 40% of likely caucusgoers identifying themselves as either “Ultra MAGA” (18%) or “Regular MAGA” (22%) when asked how they view the phrase. Among the likely caucusgoers who say Trump is their first choice, a combined 60% describe themselves as either Ultra MAGA (31%) or Regular MAGA (29%). And DeSantis’ supporters are in the middle: 24% are either Ultra or Regular MAGA; 57% are neutral; and 17% are anti-MAGA. The NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll of Iowa was conducted Jan. 7-12 of 705 likely Republican caucusgoers, and it has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.7 percentage points.
Persons: Donald Trump’s “, MAGA, Iowa Republican caucusgoers, MAGA ”, Trump, DeSantis, caucusgoers Organizations: Iowa Republican, Monday’s GOP, NBC, Des Moines Register, Republican Locations: Monday’s, Iowa
By comparison, 19% of likely Iowa caucusgoers say a Trump conviction would make it more likely that they’d back Trump, while 18% say it would make them less likely to support the former president in the general election. As with the other findings from the Iowa poll, the likely caucusgoers backing former U.N. Among Haley’s supporters, 56% say a possible conviction of Trump doesn’t matter to their Nov. 2024 vote choice, but 41% say it would make them less likely to back Trump. By comparison, 70% of DeSantis supporters say it wouldn’t matter to them if Trump was convicted, versus 26% who say it will make them less likely to support the former president. And among Trump’s supporters, 58% say a conviction wouldn’t matter — and an additional 35% say a conviction would make them more likely to support their favored candidate.
Persons: caucusgoers, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley — Organizations: caucusgoers —, NBC, Des Moines, Trump, GOP, Des Moines Register Locations: Iowa
Iowans will battle record-setting cold Monday to take part in the first nominating contest of the 2024 presidential election, the Iowa caucus. Both Republicans and Democrats will meet in person at 8 p.m. ET for caucuses, or meetings, but only Republicans will cast ballots for president. Former President Donald Trump is expected to win the GOP caucus by a margin of 20 points or more if polling trends hold. Tonight's caucus also serves as the first official barometer of where the Republican party stands in 2024.
Persons: Donald Trump, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Trump, Haley, DeSantis Organizations: Republicans, Democrats, Former South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, Trump, Republican Locations: Iowa
Iowa Republicans were a clear reflection of that on Monday night, delivering the former president an emphatic victory. As clear-cut as his win was, though, Iowa has not historically played the role of kingmaker in the Republican nominating process. He chose to appear at court hearings as a defendant in his legal cases in New York and Washington rather than speak to Iowa voters in the final days before the voting. With its more moderate, educated electorate, New Hampshire presents Trump’s rivals with possibly their best opportunity to slow his march. Trump's strength among Republican voters is beyond dispute, but the road is long and could be bumpy.
Persons: — Donald, Joe Biden, kingmaker, Trump, He’s, didn’t, Biden, Nikki Haley, Bush, John McCain, Walter Mondale, Gary Hart, Haley, , Iowans, caucusgoers, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, RAMASWAMY, Vivek Ramaswamy’s quixotic, Ramaswamy, Eminem, Chris Christie Organizations: WASHINGTON, Republican Party, White House, Iowa Republicans, AP VoteCast, Former South Carolina Gov, Colorado, Democratic, U.S, Supreme, Trump, Republican, Florida Gov, MAGA, White, Trump Trump, Republican White House Locations: Iowa, New York, Washington, New Hampshire, Hampshire, South Carolina, U.S, Florida, New Jersey, America
Ron DeSantis, who had staked his campaign on a strong showing in Iowa, came in at a distant second, with 21.2% of the vote. “You helped us get a ticket pushed out of the Hawkeye State,” DeSantis told supporters in Iowa Monday night. And about two-thirds – 66% – of the GOP Iowa voters believe President Joe Biden did not legitimately win the presidency in 2020. The state also prides itself on giving a boost to lesser-known contenders who make the effort to meet one-on-one with Hawkeye State voters. It’s not clear how long DeSantis – who had hoped to win Iowa outright and gain momentum in the race – would be able to continue.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ryan Binkley, Asa Hutchinson, Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Haley, ” DeSantis, Joe Biden, , Sen, Ted Cruz, Ted Cruz of Texas, George H.W . Bush, Bob Dole, George W . Bush, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, – he's, caucusgoers, Jimmy Carter, MAGA, Ramaswamy –, – DeSantis, Haley –, It’s Organizations: Iowa Republican, Florida Gov, Former South Carolina Gov, Arkansas Gov, MSNBC, CNN, Trump, Hawkeye State, Republican, GOP, Republican Party, White, Republicans, GOP Iowa, Des Moines, Iowa Locations: Iowa, Des Moines, New Hampshire, Ted Cruz of, Bob Dole of Kansas, Arkansas, Georgia, Des, Florida
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